Monday 21 July 2014

Apple Earnings Preview: Will Apple be able to meet Wall Street expectations?

Tuesday afternoon, all traders especially tech traders would have their eyes wide open while Apple posts its Q3 earnings. This quarter is usually quite slow on sales for apple due to the estimated product refresh during the end of the year before the holiday season. Expectations would be quite high from Apple this time around as we saw a massive beat last earnings and the surge in the share price over the past few months.  Below are the results that the company has posted in the past.


Past Results
Q3 2012
Q3 2013
Q2 2014
Revenues ($B)
$35.02
$35.32
$45.65
EPS
$9.32
$7.47
$11.62
EPS – split adjusted
$1.33
$1.07
$1.66
Gross Margin
42.81%
36.87%
39.32%
Operating Margin
33.04%
26.05%
29.78%
Profit Margin
25.19%
19.53%
22.40%

During the last earnings here’s the guidance from Apple for fiscal Q3, 2014:


Guidance
Q3 2014
Revenue ($B)
$36 - $38
Expected EPS – split adjusted
$1.23
Gross Margin
37% - 38%
Operating expenses ($B)
$4.4 – $4.5
Other Income
$200m



Estimating the Q2 diluted share count according to the guidance we came up with the figure of $1.23, thus any EPS number that is projected between $1.08 and $1.23 would be seen as growth year on year for Q3. On the product side we could see a growth on the sales numbers on the iPhone due to addition of carriers like China Mobile and new products like the iPhone 5c added in the phone line- up. The iPad could see a rise in sales numbers as compared to the last years as the sales fell short of estimates last year due to problems in inventories. Reports suggest PC sales to have increased thanks to the strong ecosystem of Apple whereas the iPod could see a strong decline in its product line up due to Apple moving towards wearables in the near future. Will Apple beat its earnings tomorrow? What are your thoughts on the earnings? 









0 comments:

Post a Comment